Disaster Consequence Management (CM) for a North Korean Nuclear Attack

doi:10.15683/kosdi.2025.12.31.811

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2025 Vol.21, Issue 4 Next Page

Research Article

Disaster Consequence Management (CM) for a North Korean Nuclear Attack 북한 핵공격에 대비한 재난 사후관리(CM) 방안: 강인규¹*ㆍ이재형²ㆍ김상덕³ㆍ김성일⁴
Inkyu Kang¹*, Jaehyung Lee², Sangduk Kim³, Sungil Kim⁴; ¹Doctor of Protective Engineering, Seoul National University of Science and Technology, Seoul, Republic of Korea
²PhD Program of Protective Engineering, Seoul National University of Science and Technology, Seoul, Republic of Korea
³Professor, PhD of Protective Engineering, Seoul National University of Science and Technology, Seoul, Republic of Korea
⁴Professor, PhD of Protective Engineering, Seoul National University of Science and Technology, Seoul, Republic of Korea

31 December 2025. pp. 811-819

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Abstract

Purpose: This study aims to provide a direction for the construction of a national nuclear protection system before a nuclear explosion and suggests the development of necessary elements related to consequence management (CM). Method: It analysed the threat and assessed the impact of a nuclear attack by North Korea, and analysed national nuclear defence and post-disaster management measures to respond to the disaster crisis. Results: To develop a nuclear protection CM system, it is necessary to improve the legal and institutional framework, transform the nuclear civil defence system based on national survival capabilities and upgrade the capabilities of civil defence evacuation facilities. Conclusion: The establishment of a “preventive aftermath management system”, a pre-emptive protection strategy in the pre-attack phase, is an essential condition to minimise the catastrophic damage that would occur in the first few minutes of a nuclear attack and to achieve the core objectives of protecting survivors and maintaining the functioning of society.

Keywords

Consequence Management(CM)

Disasters

Nuclear Defence

Nuclear Attack

Evacuation Facilities

Nuclear Civil Defence

연구목적: 본 연구는 핵폭발이전 국가 차원의 핵 방호체계 구축 방향을 제시하기 위한 연구로, 사후관리(CM : Consequence Management)와 연계한 필요 요소의 발전방안을 제시한다. 연구방법: 북한의 핵공격 시 위협을 분석하고 영향을 평가하였으며, 재난위기 대응을 위한 국가 핵방호 및 사후관리 방안을 분석하였다. 연구결과: 핵 방호 CM 체계를 발전을 위해서 법·제도적 기반의 정비, 국민 생존역량을 기반으로 한 핵 민방위 체계의전환, 민방위 대피시설의 기능 고도화가 선행되어야 한다. 결론: 핵공격 발생 이전 단계에서의 선제적 방호 전략인 ‘예방적 사후관리체계’ 구축은 핵 공격이 현실화될 경우 초기 수분 내에 발생하는 치명적 피해를 최소화하고 생존자 보호 및 사회 기능 유지라는 핵심 목표를 달성하기 위한 필수적 조건이다.

키워드

사후관리

핵방호

핵공격

대피시설

핵민방위

References

Han, K.-M., Lee, H.-W., Kim, E.-S., Yu, A.-S. (2016). A Study on the Development of Emergency Preparedness Posture for a North Korean Nuclear Attack. Ministry of Public Safety and Security, Seoul.
Kim, H.-M. (2018). “A study for a national nuclear protection system establishment.” Journal of Defense Policy Studies, Vol. 34, No. 1, pp. 38-44.
Lee, C.-G. (2017). Measures to Improve Nuclear Defense and Civil Defense Systems in Response to Increasing North Korean Nuclear Threats. STEPI, Vol. 217, Science and Technology Policy Institute.
Lee, H.-S., The Korean Society for Disaster Information (2024). Discussions on Strengthening the Response System for National Safety: A Forum on Ensuring Civil Protection Against Nuclear and WMD Threats. National Assembly Library.
Ministry of National Defense (2018). Defense White Paper 2018.
Park, H.-R. (2017), “Discussion paper on inspection of nuclear defense facilities in response to nuclear weapon threats.” Proceedings of the Future Security Forum on Responding to Nuclear Weapon Threats, Seoul, pp. 27-29.
Park, H.-R. (2022a), “The significance and response direction of legislating North Korea’s nuclear policy.” Proceedings of the 2022 North Korean Nuclear Response Research Seminar, Seoul, pp. 11-25.
Park, J.-W. (2022b), “Direction and tasks of civil nuclear defense.” Proceedings of the 2022 North Korean Nuclear Response Research Seminar, Seoul, pp.47-73.
Park, N.K. (2015), “A study on the planning of civil defense shelter and design 3: Focusing on considerations related to military threat.” The Korean Society for Disaster Information, Vol. 11, No. 1, pp. 97-106. 10.15683/kosdi.2015.11.1.97

Information

Publisher :The Korean Society of Disaster Information
Publisher(Ko) :한국재난정보학회
Journal Title :Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
Journal Title(Ko) :한국재난정보학회논문집
Volume : 21
No :4
Pages :811-819
DOI :https://doi.org/10.15683/kosdi.2025.12.31.811

[1] Han, K.-M., Lee, H.-W., Kim, E.-S., Yu, A.-S. (2016). A Study on the Development of Emergency Preparedness Posture for a North Korean Nuclear Attack. Ministry of Public Safety and Security, Seoul.

[2] Kim, H.-M. (2018). “A study for a national nuclear protection system establishment.” Journal of Defense Policy Studies, Vol. 34, No. 1, pp. 38-44.

[3] Lee, C.-G. (2017). Measures to Improve Nuclear Defense and Civil Defense Systems in Response to Increasing North Korean Nuclear Threats. STEPI, Vol. 217, Science and Technology Policy Institute.

[4] Lee, H.-S., The Korean Society for Disaster Information (2024). Discussions on Strengthening the Response System for National Safety: A Forum on Ensuring Civil Protection Against Nuclear and WMD Threats. National Assembly Library.

[5] Ministry of National Defense (2018). Defense White Paper 2018.

[6] Park, H.-R. (2017), “Discussion paper on inspection of nuclear defense facilities in response to nuclear weapon threats.” Proceedings of the Future Security Forum on Responding to Nuclear Weapon Threats, Seoul, pp. 27-29.

[7] Park, H.-R. (2022a), “The significance and response direction of legislating North Korea’s nuclear policy.” Proceedings of the 2022 North Korean Nuclear Response Research Seminar, Seoul, pp. 11-25.

[8] Park, J.-W. (2022b), “Direction and tasks of civil nuclear defense.” Proceedings of the 2022 North Korean Nuclear Response Research Seminar, Seoul, pp.47-73.

[9] Park, N.K. (2015), “A study on the planning of civil defense shelter and design 3: Focusing on considerations related to military threat.” The Korean Society for Disaster Information, Vol. 11, No. 1, pp. 97-106. 10.15683/kosdi.2015.11.1.97

Journal of the Society of Disaster Information ISSN:1976-2208(Print) 2671-5287(Online) 한국재난정보학회논문집

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